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Health Net Inc HNT:NYSE bought by Aetna Inc AET:NYSE

December 15th, 2008 · No Comments

At least that is what i Expect to hear, But with the company basically paying you to buy it, why wouldn’t a smart company buy it, Its balance sheet is a clean one, the only problem is its a dog, I expect a very nice short squeeze

We are overbought.

December 8th, 2008 · No Comments

I intend on shorting the s&p 500 first thing this morning, I dont think the market will be up above 9000 anytime soon, I think its being propped up by some buy the rumor sell the news AND ITS NEWSDAY.

The market has been opening lower and steadily gaining throught the day, I believe Today we will see this pattern reversed.

Blackrock’s CEO says people are still redeeming, and there are some that are trying to hang in there, and nobody is putting money in. Which means this rally is fake.

We are in “a bottoming process” and as such, you need to watch out for the light at the end of the tunnel as it might be a freight train.

Take your gains if your long, after all, you might have gained alot.

Announcing my new book (im looking for a publisher): How to Act like an Investment Banker

December 6th, 2008 · 1 Comment

How to Act like an Investor

Yes finally, there is a all telling source on how to act like an investor, even if your not.

Stunning Gem’s from the book include:

A List of Things to have on you before walking out of your house to your fararri.

Personality Defects to ensure your replicating and how.

Obnoxious ways to spend your money.

How to pick up a model in a bar (aka one million a year or no go)

The guide to Italian Shit…..

How to COMPLETELY RUIN THE AMERICAN FINANCIAL SYSTEM

Glossary of terms to confuse the average person

How to never admit your mistakes

All this for whatever my publisher decides to sell it for.

Proper Yiddish Phrases for a conference call.

December 4th, 2008 · No Comments

During a conference call today, Robert Toll decided to give a try at saying something in yiddish about the housing market, fasluk. This is not a yiddish word, It sounds yiddish, it isnt.

Nice Jewish boy and finance expert Scott Rothbort has told me, he probably ment Fastunken.

For future conference call references for all you ceo’s out there. Here is a list of words with their category
Broygis: Not on speaking terms.

Bubeleh: Endearing term for anyone you like regardless of age.

Bupkis: Nothing. Something totally worthless. (Literally “Beans”)

Chutzpeh: Brazenness, gall.

Cockamamie: Crazy; ludicrous

Drek: Human dung, feces, manure or excrement; inferior merchandise or work; insincere talk or excessive flattery

Farkuckt (taboo): Dungy, shitty

Farshlugginer: Refers to a mixed-up or shaken item. Generally indicates something of little or dubious value.

Feh!: Fooey, It stinks, It’s no good.

Gelt: Money

Gevalt!: Heaven Forbid! (Exclamatory in the extreme.)

Ipish: Bad odor, stink

(To) Kibbitz: To offer unsolicited advice as a spectator

Kibbitzer: Meddlesome spectator

Kish mir en toches: Kiss my backside (slang)

(A) Kitsel: Tickle

Klutz (klotz): Ungraceful, awkward, clumsy person; bungler

K’nishes: Baked dumplings filled with potato, meat, liver or barley

Kolboynik: Rascally know-it-all

K’vetsh: Whine, complain; whiner, a complainer

Leck, shmeck: Done superficially (Literally, “lick, smell”)

L’chei-im, le’chayim!: To life! (the traditional Jewish toast); To your health, skol

Mazel Tov: Good Luck (lit) Generally used to convey “congratulations”.

Mentsh: A special man or person. One who can be respected.

Meshugeh: Crazy

Meshugeneh: Mad, crazy, insane female.

Meshugener: Mad, crazy, insane man

Mish mash: Combination, mess, hodgepodge:

Mitzvah: Good deed; a gift to help one in get started in their career or future

Nebbish: A nobody, simpleton, weakling, awkward person

Nosh: Eat, snack

Nudnik: Pesty nagger, nuisance, a bore, obnoxious person

Nudje: Annoying person, badgerer (Americanism)

Oi!!: Yiddish exclamation to denote disgust, pain, astonishment or rapture

Oi, gevald: Cry of anguish, suffering, frustration or for help

Oi, Vai!: Dear me! Expression of dismay or hurt

Phooey! fooey, pfui: Designates disbelief, distaste, contempt

Plotz: To burst, fall over

Prost: Coarse, common, vulgar

Putz: Slang word for “penis.” Also used when describing someone someone as being “a jerk.”

Shikseh: Non-Jewish girl

Shiva: Mourning period of seven days observed by family and friends of deceased

Shlemiel: Clumsy bungler, an inept person, butter-fingered; dopey person

Shlep: Drag, carry or haul, particularly unnecessary things, parcels or baggage; to go somewhere unwillingly or where you may be unwanted

Shlimazel: Luckless person. Unlucky person; one with perpetual bad luck (it is said that the shlemiel spills the soup on the shlimazel!)

Shlub: A jerk; a foolish, stupid or unknowing person, second rate, inferior.

Shlump: Careless dresser, untidy person; as a verb, to idle or lounge around

Shmaltz: Grease or fat; (slang) flattery; to sweet talk, overly praise, dramatic

Shmeer: The business; the whole works; to bribe, to coat like butter

Shmendrik: nincompoop; an inept or indifferent person; same as shlemiel

Shmo(e): Naive person, easy to deceive; a goof (Americanism)

Shmuck (tabboo): Self-made fool; obscene for penis: derisive term for a man

Shmuts: Dirt, slime

Shnook: A patsy, a sucker, a sap, easy-going, person easy to impose upon, gullible

Shnorrer: A beggar who makes pretensions to respectability; sponger, a parasite

Shtik: Piece, routine: a special bit of acting

(A) Shtunk: A guy who doesn’t smell too good; a stink (bad odor) a lousy human

Verklempt: Extremely emotional. On the verge of tears. (See “Farklempt”)

Vos iz?: What’s the matter?

Zol zein!: Let it be! That’s all!

Get Britney Spears some shorts, and short Braskem (BAK:NYSE)

December 3rd, 2008 · No Comments

s-BRITNEY-SPEARS-large Get Britney Spears some shorts, and short Braskem (BAK:NYSE)

Thats right: If two years ago I had said to you the following things would happen.

  • Britney spears would Look hot again
  • Kevin Federline would turn out to be a responsible parent
  • The phillies would win the WS
  • There would be a massive financial collapse
  • You would have thought I was delusional:

neil_patrick_harris_unicorn Get Britney Spears some shorts, and short Braskem (BAK:NYSE)

But I am not, and if I took the time back then to say that commodities prices would collapse, you would have been right for 2 years, then you would come to believe me.

This is one of the many reasons Braskem is on the long death spiral.
they are a finance driven company that experiences “weaker demand”.

If this goes back above $5.00 I am shorting this, and holding it to 0.

Dear LCC, you stole my Xbox, now you get another short: Why LCC is on my Cowpie list.

December 3rd, 2008 · No Comments

 Dear LCC, you stole my Xbox, now you get another short: Why LCC is on my Cowpie list.

Thats right, this company managed to have employees that stole my xbox, and I intend to extract damages out of the value of their company.

That set aside, this company paid way too much for gas earlier in the year, and is failing (according to a concierge i talked to) to book many of its flights all the way.

I anticipate a major decline in the long run, however I would be scared as to weather or not this stock is too tied to market movements.

My suggestion is to set a “rediculous option in price” wherein if you see a jump, you can have a limit order go off, and possibly gain a bit of a extra profit in the end.

Long term target price. $1 a share.

The latest trade that makes you think, what is wrong with this market: Rambus Inc RMBS:NASDAQ and why it deserves to die.

December 2nd, 2008 · 5 Comments

 The latest trade that makes you think, what is wrong with this market: Rambus Inc RMBS:NASDAQ and why it deserves to die.

Rambus inc is a company that will die before it recieves any cash from judgments.

“U.S. District Judge Ronald Whyte ruled Tuesday that several major chip companies violated certain elements of computer memory patents held by Rambus. Whyte denied a request for summary judgment on other elements of the patent dispute, which is set for trial on Jan. 22.

But Capstone Investments analyst Jeff Schreiner said the decision bodes well for Rambus in a suit that could lead to significant royalties for the company.

In an interview, Schreiner said “obviously this is not a ’show me the money’ type ruling.” But he said by stripping out some of the more technical aspects of the case, the decision makes the rest of the company’s argument easier to put to a jury.

Schreiner estimates the companies involved in the suit represented about 60 percent of 2007 sales for the dynamic random access memory, or DRAM, chips Rambus is suing over.

They include South Korea-based Samsung Electronics Co. and Hynix Semiconductor, Boise, Taiwan-based Nanya Technology Corp. and Idaho-based Inc., Micron Technology Inc.” ~ap

If you have ever tried to sue a fortune 500 company, you will realize, that even if they are wrong, and everyone around them knows that they are wrong, incuding them, they will still tie you up in court for 30 years, using the money that they could have paid you to fund their lawers, and starve you of legal fees.

So when i see a company jump 100% on a PRETRIAL ruling, I think “where is the best place to short”

I found it Today, Just the right pattern for weakeness, and I intend to hold on to this one till its down to at least 10, possibly 9.

I shorted SDS at these levels and so can you!

November 19th, 2008 · No Comments

SDS daily Chart

I am expecting a snapback rally sometime this week, I believe that as we are at-near closing lows, this may be the best chance you could ever get to go long the market.

I would like to caution that this is a very long term play (years) and also a very short term play (days).

The only ways to be able to get guarenteed returns in this market is to buy United states guarenteed goverment guarenteed securities).

More to come at closing bell, im just informing you all that this may be the time.

EDIT: I am cheering this stock up today, even though i am short, as when we get a 10% rally tommrow, the stock will go down to the 90s

Looking to get into aig today.

November 10th, 2008 · No Comments

Target price under 2.5

edit: Bought at 2.5 short term sell, 3.10  long term hold till $8 if the possible goverment takeover of 80% is off the table.

edit 2: tempting to put even more money in, definate if you havent gotten in, this may be for you

Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor

November 8th, 2008 · 2 Comments

IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.

This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.

The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.

If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit

Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short QQQ PSQ Nasdaq-100
Short Dow 30 DOG DJIA
Short S&P 500 SH S&P 500
Short MidCap400 MYY S&P MidCap 400
Short SmallCap600 SBB S&P SmallCap 600
Short Russell2000 RWM Russell 2000
UltraShort QQQ QID Nasdaq-100
UltraShort Dow 30 DXD DJIA
UltraShort S&P 500 SDS S&P 500
UltraShort MidCap400 MZZ S&P MidCap 400
UltraShort SmallCap600 SDD S&P SmallCap 600
UltraShort Russell2000 TWM Russell 2000

UltraShort Style:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Russell1000 Value SJF Russell 1000 Value
UltraShort Russell1000 Growth SFK Russell 1000 Growth
UltraShort Russell MidCap Value SJL Russell MidCap Value
UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth SDK Russell MidCap Growth
UltraShort Russell2000 Value SJH Russell 2000 Value
UltraShort Russell2000 Growth SKK Russell 2000 Growth

UltraShort Sector:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Basic Materials SMN Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials
UltraShort Consumer Goods SZK Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods
UltraShort Consumer Services SCC Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services
UltraShort Financials SKF Dow Jones U.S. Financials
UltraShort Health Care RXD Dow Jones U.S. Health Care
UltraShort Industrials SIJ Dow Jones U.S. Industrials
UltraShort Real Estate SRS Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate
UltraShort Semiconductors SSG Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors
UltraShort Oil & Gas  DUG Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas
UltraShort Technology REW Dow Jones U.S. Technology
UltraShort Utilities SDP Dow Jones U.S. Utilities

Short & UltraShort International:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short MSCI Emerging Markets EUM MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Short MSCI EAFE EFZ MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI EAFE EFU MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets EEV MSCI Emerging Markets index
UltraShort MSCI Japan EWV MSCI Japan Index
UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 FXP FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index

 

Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of  something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market. 

My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.

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