Archive for November, 2008
I shorted SDS at these levels and so can you!
Nov 19th
I am expecting a snapback rally sometime this week, I believe that as we are at-near closing lows, this may be the best chance you could ever get to go long the market.
I would like to caution that this is a very long term play (years) and also a very short term play (days).
The only ways to be able to get guarenteed returns in this market is to buy United states guarenteed goverment guarenteed securities).
More to come at closing bell, im just informing you all that this may be the time.
EDIT: I am cheering this stock up today, even though i am short, as when we get a 10% rally tommrow, the stock will go down to the 90s
Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor
Nov 8th
IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.
This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.
The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.
If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit
Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| Short QQQ | PSQ | Nasdaq-100 |
| Short Dow 30 | DOG | DJIA |
| Short S&P 500 | SH | S&P 500 |
| Short MidCap400 | MYY | S&P MidCap 400 |
| Short SmallCap600 | SBB | S&P SmallCap 600 |
| Short Russell2000 | RWM | Russell 2000 |
| UltraShort QQQ | QID | Nasdaq-100 |
| UltraShort Dow 30 | DXD | DJIA |
| UltraShort S&P 500 | SDS | S&P 500 |
| UltraShort MidCap400 | MZZ | S&P MidCap 400 |
| UltraShort SmallCap600 | SDD | S&P SmallCap 600 |
| UltraShort Russell2000 | TWM | Russell 2000 |
UltraShort Style:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| UltraShort Russell1000 Value | SJF | Russell 1000 Value |
| UltraShort Russell1000 Growth | SFK | Russell 1000 Growth |
| UltraShort Russell MidCap Value | SJL | Russell MidCap Value |
| UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth | SDK | Russell MidCap Growth |
| UltraShort Russell2000 Value | SJH | Russell 2000 Value |
| UltraShort Russell2000 Growth | SKK | Russell 2000 Growth |
UltraShort Sector:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| UltraShort Basic Materials | SMN | Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials |
| UltraShort Consumer Goods | SZK | Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods |
| UltraShort Consumer Services | SCC | Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services |
| UltraShort Financials | SKF | Dow Jones U.S. Financials |
| UltraShort Health Care | RXD | Dow Jones U.S. Health Care |
| UltraShort Industrials | SIJ | Dow Jones U.S. Industrials |
| UltraShort Real Estate | SRS | Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate |
| UltraShort Semiconductors | SSG | Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors |
| UltraShort Oil & Gas | DUG | Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas |
| UltraShort Technology | REW | Dow Jones U.S. Technology |
| UltraShort Utilities | SDP | Dow Jones U.S. Utilities |
Short & UltraShort International:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| Short MSCI Emerging Markets | EUM | MSCI Emerging Markets Index |
| Short MSCI EAFE | EFZ | MSCI EAFE Index |
| UltraShort MSCI EAFE | EFU | MSCI EAFE Index |
| UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets | EEV | MSCI Emerging Markets index |
| UltraShort MSCI Japan | EWV | MSCI Japan Index |
| UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 | FXP | FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index |
Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market.
My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.
Diversify your bearishness, toss in the nasdaq: or why i like UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID)
Nov 1st
Dont worry, Im not just gonna keep my hate located on the s&p 500, of all of the indexes, the nasdaq seems to be behaving the most bearish, as such I am recomennding UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID).
It is important to make sure that you dont through all of your bags on to one new york city bums shopping cart.
That strand of geinus being said, although it might have better been left unsaid, the market could go anywhere right now, probably down, but it is my wholeharted opinion that by friday we will have an intense fear based sell off (probably on the gdp #s)
TooLongDidntRead: long QID
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