jay

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Homepage: http://jayzalowitz.com


Posts by jay

My Blog, one year later.

It has been over a year since I posted an investment related post on my blog here, and for some reason I am still getting 100 views a day, and as such, I am thankful to you all for visiting, hopefully, ill be able to write more soon.

Look forward to the renewed work here,

Jay Zalowitz

Proper Yiddish Phrases for a conference call.

During a conference call today, Robert Toll decided to give a try at saying something in yiddish about the housing market, fasluk. This is not a yiddish word, It sounds yiddish, it isnt.

Nice Jewish boy and finance expert Scott Rothbort has told me, he probably ment Fastunken.

For future conference call references for all you ceo’s out there. Here is a list of words with their category
Broygis: Not on speaking terms.

Bubeleh: Endearing term for anyone you like regardless of age.

Bupkis: Nothing. Something totally worthless. (Literally “Beans”)

Chutzpeh: Brazenness, gall.

Cockamamie: Crazy; ludicrous

Drek: Human dung, feces, manure or excrement; inferior merchandise or work; insincere talk or excessive flattery

Farkuckt (taboo): Dungy, shitty

Farshlugginer: Refers to a mixed-up or shaken item. Generally indicates something of little or dubious value.

Feh!: Fooey, It stinks, It’s no good.

Gelt: Money

Gevalt!: Heaven Forbid! (Exclamatory in the extreme.)

Ipish: Bad odor, stink

(To) Kibbitz: To offer unsolicited advice as a spectator

Kibbitzer: Meddlesome spectator

Kish mir en toches: Kiss my backside (slang)

(A) Kitsel: Tickle

Klutz (klotz): Ungraceful, awkward, clumsy person; bungler

K’nishes: Baked dumplings filled with potato, meat, liver or barley

Kolboynik: Rascally know-it-all

K’vetsh: Whine, complain; whiner, a complainer

Leck, shmeck: Done superficially (Literally, “lick, smell”)

L’chei-im, le’chayim!: To life! (the traditional Jewish toast); To your health, skol

Mazel Tov: Good Luck (lit) Generally used to convey “congratulations”.

Mentsh: A special man or person. One who can be respected.

Meshugeh: Crazy

Meshugeneh: Mad, crazy, insane female.

Meshugener: Mad, crazy, insane man

Mish mash: Combination, mess, hodgepodge:

Mitzvah: Good deed; a gift to help one in get started in their career or future

Nebbish: A nobody, simpleton, weakling, awkward person

Nosh: Eat, snack

Nudnik: Pesty nagger, nuisance, a bore, obnoxious person

Nudje: Annoying person, badgerer (Americanism)

Oi!!: Yiddish exclamation to denote disgust, pain, astonishment or rapture

Oi, gevald: Cry of anguish, suffering, frustration or for help

Oi, Vai!: Dear me! Expression of dismay or hurt

Phooey! fooey, pfui: Designates disbelief, distaste, contempt

Plotz: To burst, fall over

Prost: Coarse, common, vulgar

Putz: Slang word for “penis.” Also used when describing someone someone as being “a jerk.”

Shikseh: Non-Jewish girl

Shiva: Mourning period of seven days observed by family and friends of deceased

Shlemiel: Clumsy bungler, an inept person, butter-fingered; dopey person

Shlep: Drag, carry or haul, particularly unnecessary things, parcels or baggage; to go somewhere unwillingly or where you may be unwanted

Shlimazel: Luckless person. Unlucky person; one with perpetual bad luck (it is said that the shlemiel spills the soup on the shlimazel!)

Shlub: A jerk; a foolish, stupid or unknowing person, second rate, inferior.

Shlump: Careless dresser, untidy person; as a verb, to idle or lounge around

Shmaltz: Grease or fat; (slang) flattery; to sweet talk, overly praise, dramatic

Shmeer: The business; the whole works; to bribe, to coat like butter

Shmendrik: nincompoop; an inept or indifferent person; same as shlemiel

Shmo(e): Naive person, easy to deceive; a goof (Americanism)

Shmuck (tabboo): Self-made fool; obscene for penis: derisive term for a man

Shmuts: Dirt, slime

Shnook: A patsy, a sucker, a sap, easy-going, person easy to impose upon, gullible

Shnorrer: A beggar who makes pretensions to respectability; sponger, a parasite

Shtik: Piece, routine: a special bit of acting

(A) Shtunk: A guy who doesn’t smell too good; a stink (bad odor) a lousy human

Verklempt: Extremely emotional. On the verge of tears. (See “Farklempt”)

Vos iz?: What’s the matter?

Zol zein!: Let it be! That’s all!

I shorted SDS at these levels and so can you!

SDS daily Chart

I am expecting a snapback rally sometime this week, I believe that as we are at-near closing lows, this may be the best chance you could ever get to go long the market.

I would like to caution that this is a very long term play (years) and also a very short term play (days).

The only ways to be able to get guarenteed returns in this market is to buy United states guarenteed goverment guarenteed securities).

More to come at closing bell, im just informing you all that this may be the time.

EDIT: I am cheering this stock up today, even though i am short, as when we get a 10% rally tommrow, the stock will go down to the 90s

Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor

IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.

This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.

The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.

If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit

Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short QQQ PSQ Nasdaq-100
Short Dow 30 DOG DJIA
Short S&P 500 SH S&P 500
Short MidCap400 MYY S&P MidCap 400
Short SmallCap600 SBB S&P SmallCap 600
Short Russell2000 RWM Russell 2000
UltraShort QQQ QID Nasdaq-100
UltraShort Dow 30 DXD DJIA
UltraShort S&P 500 SDS S&P 500
UltraShort MidCap400 MZZ S&P MidCap 400
UltraShort SmallCap600 SDD S&P SmallCap 600
UltraShort Russell2000 TWM Russell 2000

UltraShort Style:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Russell1000 Value SJF Russell 1000 Value
UltraShort Russell1000 Growth SFK Russell 1000 Growth
UltraShort Russell MidCap Value SJL Russell MidCap Value
UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth SDK Russell MidCap Growth
UltraShort Russell2000 Value SJH Russell 2000 Value
UltraShort Russell2000 Growth SKK Russell 2000 Growth

UltraShort Sector:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Basic Materials SMN Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials
UltraShort Consumer Goods SZK Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods
UltraShort Consumer Services SCC Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services
UltraShort Financials SKF Dow Jones U.S. Financials
UltraShort Health Care RXD Dow Jones U.S. Health Care
UltraShort Industrials SIJ Dow Jones U.S. Industrials
UltraShort Real Estate SRS Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate
UltraShort Semiconductors SSG Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors
UltraShort Oil & Gas  DUG Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas
UltraShort Technology REW Dow Jones U.S. Technology
UltraShort Utilities SDP Dow Jones U.S. Utilities

Short & UltraShort International:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short MSCI Emerging Markets EUM MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Short MSCI EAFE EFZ MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI EAFE EFU MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets EEV MSCI Emerging Markets index
UltraShort MSCI Japan EWV MSCI Japan Index
UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 FXP FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index

 

Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of  something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market. 

My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.

Diversify your bearishness, toss in the nasdaq: or why i like UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID)

Ultrashort nasdaq

Dont worry, Im not just gonna keep my hate located on the s&p 500, of all of the indexes, the nasdaq seems to be behaving the most bearish, as such I am recomennding UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID). 

It is important to make sure that you dont through all of your bags on to one new york city bums shopping cart.

That strand of geinus being said, although it might have better been left unsaid, the market could go anywhere right now, probably down, but it is my wholeharted opinion that by friday we will have an intense fear based sell off (probably on the gdp #s) 

TooLongDidntRead: long QID

 

Chart of the day, pick of the day, UltraShort S&P500 ProShares (SDS)

SDS

SDS is once again testing its recent range low, as such, I am reccomending it as a BUY with a sell order waiting for it at 108.49

I will also restate that it is my belief that the market is rangebound for the moment, as such, I am also reccomending taking some of the gains from your long positions and waiting for a better price to occur.

Remember, dont trade with what you cant afford to lose.

Take the 50% gain,or why i would be long UltraShort MSCI Emerging Mrkts ProShares (EEV)

So, id like to thank all of my readers for their responses, I appreciate the emails. (use the contact me link above)

 

That being said, I stand by my claim, you SHOULD NOT BE SHORT THIS STOCK ANYMORE!

I am on full confidence saying that you should be going long this stock at the first oppourtunity.

I think we have peaked.

I think we are due for a nice turnaround. As such i have a small portfolio for you to use with your new gains

LONG    Short 

EEV       UYG

SDS       SSO (Yes i realize sds is right next to this, this is to negate the constant leverage trap)

DUG

 

 

Why if you listened to my position on UltraShort MSCI Emerging Mrkts ProShares (EEV) You Made 40%+ today

Why if you Listened to me on EEV, you made money

If you did win with this trade today, my humble advice to you is to take the trade.

You got a 40% gain off my advice today, I fully expect a sell off day by close of thursday, as such, I am reversing my position on this stock.

Why I would be short UltraShort MSCI Emerging Mrkts ProShares (EEV)

It is afterall an emerging market, and as such, its much easier to sell at a obvious peek like we have right now, The constant leverage trap is providing you a excellent oppourtunity to make a quick 20% (remember to set out prices, otherwise this one might sting.

P.S. im going to be posting alot less from now on due to work, quit emailing me, it just pisses me off, use the contact me link above.

Why if I was still able to, I would be buying Apple Inc. (AAPL)

Its showtime

So AAPL is reporting tonight.

My suggestion is that this is a buy the rumor sell the news earnings report, in full reverse of the normal way to play a mac-rumor, I personally believe that no matter what happens to AAPL, the stock will be up 5+% tommrow.

I personally have gotten out of this market, I need to make sure my money is safe, because i may not be able to take out student loans this upcoming semester.