Posts tagged goog
You might want to consider SDS tommrow: EARNINGS BRIEF
Jul 16th
It is my opinion that you may want to short the market tommrow, as I am expecting the market to have a retracement tommrow. A good choice might be to buy SDS tommrow, as you will double what the market does, this being said, get out of it before close.
I’m not entirely sure what time these are all coming out but here but here are my predictions.
- TD Ameritrade (AMTD) will beat earnings with .35 a share in earnings as opposed to .32
- Coke (KO) will take a hit after failing to meet earnings because of oil and other costs. .91 a share in earnings IMHO
- Microsoft (MSFT) will beat earnings with an eps of .50 this might be from the fallback in a bad economy, blowing up cars with a rocket launcher (In gta. not that gates couldnt afford to do that).
- Google (GOOG) will beat the streets estimate of 4.74 with a compelling 5.00, I am expecting this extra amount from my own data gathering from sources operating websites outside of the United States.
- Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BK) could beat earnings because of exchange rates with Dubai etc. 0.75 expected, I’m not sure on this one.
- CIT Group (CIT) may only lose 3.35 a share as opposed to the estimated 3.4, as i think there may be a few unaccounted for $ in earnings they can come up with
- BancorpSouth, Inc. (BXS) will SMASH earnings, judging by my input from friends and family from my native Tennessee. I honestly expect 50 cents a share in earnings.
- Harley-Davidson (HOG) will miss earnings, knowing the people who buy harley’s now adays arent the rough riders, they are the retired doctors and such that may be directly affected by this bad stock market. I expect 65 cents a share as opposed to the streets expected 75
- JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) may actually do worse than expected but if it does it will only be slight, however that wont matter as much because Dimon has been talking it down long enough that just surviving will send it soaring.
- Merrill Lynch (MER) Will NOT BEAT EARNINGS. Period, if it does, I will post a picture of me wearing a burger king kings hat. THEN I WILL EAT IT.(partially at least)
- Nokia (NOK) will not beat earnings because of increasing material prices and decreasing demand. I expect 50 cents a share.
- PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (PNC) will not beat Earnings due to market situations combined with losses in customer base. I expect 1.10 eps
Id take this time to also get back into apple as I can see it shooting up to 200 from this point.
All of that being said, this market is crazy and im a College student, do as you want, thats what I think is going to happen, If you want some really good advice, I’d suggest reading TheCodyReport as Cody Willard, one of the smartest people I know writes it, and he is rarely wrong (consistantly beating the markets while he managed his fund (bought apple at 7 and google at IPO))
Break over, its time to assault the market
Jun 10th
I decided to stay out of the market for the past two days, I just didnt have the time to spend the normal amount of attention to the market that i wanted, and on top of that, have you seen the market?
Sometimes the best trading move you can make is to not trade at all.
However, it is now time to get back in. It is my belief that the market is going to be going up for the next few days, and I intend to take advantage of this
Stocks that I’m going to try be diving into before Friday are:
- (GOOG) – reasoning will be located (here)
- (LEH)- Call it suicide, it probably is
- (CROX)- Because of great information from TheCodyReport
- (SSO)- I believe the S&P will be up 3%+ more by the end of the week, transferring to a 6% gain
- (CC)- It is my belief there will be a news item on CC within the week
Number 1 threat to the market this week: Bears
Googleplexed? Heres my opinion on Google Inc. (GOOG)
May 28th
Quicktake
- AN AU Google (GOOG)(an AU is the distance between the earth and the sun, inotherwords, really long.)
Google, the everlasting giant of the series of tubes we all know as the internets, is at what i consider to be a great buying price. Google will experience a dominance of search technology similar to the dominance of tissues that the kleenex corporation did, and this is only because of the fact that everyone no longer searches for anything but rather googles it. Google managed to be able to create a corporate enviorment that is the best in the world. These productive and happy employees have come out with gems that everyone knows about in their SPARE TIME, such as GMail.
Google however has a few things you might not be taking into your considerations when calculating how they get their earnings.
- Google makes loads of money off of MOZILLA, this is because of the embedded search bars you see on the top right of your browser. One analysts projection is that between that search bar and the toolbars, google makes at least a BILLION dollars. Important to note of the value of this is that google will pay people 1$ for any bar their site refers onto someones browser. The importance of this is that Mozilla is coming out with Firefox Release Candidate 2 for firefox 3.0 (Which this is being written on)(this means more users gleamed from IE when it is released and more profit for google.
- The 3G IPHONE, for the same reason as Mozilla, google makes loads of money everytime someone uses google, which is preset onto these iphones, to click on one of their paid links (which belive me get used with iphones)(I <3 my Iphone, which is paid for when you click on adds, so thanks)
- The android, not to be confused with [[Iron Man]], Is an open phone (can be used with any carrier that signs up) Loaded with the absolute best nerds could come out with, this phone is going to smack the Blackberry Bold and the 3G iphone into the ground, im talking deathmatch style, it will hurt Apple Inc.(AAPL) and Research in Motion (RIMM) (RIMM More, check this article out)
- Jerry Yang, need i say more, is going to be the best thing to happen to google since USB 2.0 (they need flashdrives) he manages to increase googles profits when he lets them serve some of the adds, further driving people to just go with google alone because, hey, it’ll end up on yahoo anyway.
Overall, i have a 12 month price target of $750 with this stock. Have at it, and look me up on google.
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A shot at Research In Motion Limited (USA) (RIMM)
May 27th
Quick Take
- Short (RIMM)
- Long (AAPL)
- Long (GOOG)
RIMM is way overpriced based upon what amounts to an overstatement of future expectations. Research In Motion will face a upcoming problem with google’s open source cell phone platform nicknamed “android”.
Android has what Research In Motion LACKS with the Blackberries, including the new Blackberries. Android had an open source SDK or software developers kit, released months ago. Along with this google has offered 10 million in money to the best developers, in otherwords, all the apps that were developed for hacked iphones and blackberries will pail in conparison to android because of the sheer amount of nerds google had programming. It was a rather engenious move, causing by some estimates 100,000 programmers to develop for them for free. All of this on a sleek blackberry esque touchscreen format, one which could easily be adopted by other companies. This phone is sure to give Google (GOOG) more in advertising revenue.
Overall, however, it is my belief that over the next few months, Research In Motion Limited (RIMM) will have a underperformance of the BOLD when the 3G iphone comes out on the 9th. My suggestion on action would be a pair trade of buying AAPL and Shorting Rimm Immediately, and selling after the 3G news event on the 9th.
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Why Yahoo Will be a great buy tommrow.
May 3rd
Ok, SO I DO NOT RECCOMEND BUYING AT THE OPEN. I wanted to make that clear.
However, if you want to grab yahoo, there may be some oppourtunity to buy the weakness when the stock hits levels below 19.
My Lehman brothers trade was made on the reasoning that Lehman wouldnt go bankrupt, this was based on sound research I did, and a bottom that was evidenced earlier in the day
Yahoo will be in the same sort of situation that LEH was in back this year when i made an 80%+ profit.
If you see yahoo go below its lows, it is most likely from all of the selling action, and with the likelyhood of price recovery being quite high when the shorts start to cover, you may want to pic a percentage and buy, then you can thank msft
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