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Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor

IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.

This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.

The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.

If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit

Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short QQQ PSQ Nasdaq-100
Short Dow 30 DOG DJIA
Short S&P 500 SH S&P 500
Short MidCap400 MYY S&P MidCap 400
Short SmallCap600 SBB S&P SmallCap 600
Short Russell2000 RWM Russell 2000
UltraShort QQQ QID Nasdaq-100
UltraShort Dow 30 DXD DJIA
UltraShort S&P 500 SDS S&P 500
UltraShort MidCap400 MZZ S&P MidCap 400
UltraShort SmallCap600 SDD S&P SmallCap 600
UltraShort Russell2000 TWM Russell 2000

UltraShort Style:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Russell1000 Value SJF Russell 1000 Value
UltraShort Russell1000 Growth SFK Russell 1000 Growth
UltraShort Russell MidCap Value SJL Russell MidCap Value
UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth SDK Russell MidCap Growth
UltraShort Russell2000 Value SJH Russell 2000 Value
UltraShort Russell2000 Growth SKK Russell 2000 Growth

UltraShort Sector:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Basic Materials SMN Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials
UltraShort Consumer Goods SZK Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods
UltraShort Consumer Services SCC Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services
UltraShort Financials SKF Dow Jones U.S. Financials
UltraShort Health Care RXD Dow Jones U.S. Health Care
UltraShort Industrials SIJ Dow Jones U.S. Industrials
UltraShort Real Estate SRS Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate
UltraShort Semiconductors SSG Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors
UltraShort Oil & Gas  DUG Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas
UltraShort Technology REW Dow Jones U.S. Technology
UltraShort Utilities SDP Dow Jones U.S. Utilities

Short & UltraShort International:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short MSCI Emerging Markets EUM MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Short MSCI EAFE EFZ MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI EAFE EFU MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets EEV MSCI Emerging Markets index
UltraShort MSCI Japan EWV MSCI Japan Index
UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 FXP FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index

 

Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of  something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market. 

My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.

Diversify your bearishness, toss in the nasdaq: or why i like UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID)

Ultrashort nasdaq

Dont worry, Im not just gonna keep my hate located on the s&p 500, of all of the indexes, the nasdaq seems to be behaving the most bearish, as such I am recomennding UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID). 

It is important to make sure that you dont through all of your bags on to one new york city bums shopping cart.

That strand of geinus being said, although it might have better been left unsaid, the market could go anywhere right now, probably down, but it is my wholeharted opinion that by friday we will have an intense fear based sell off (probably on the gdp #s) 

TooLongDidntRead: long QID

 

The 74 people who voted for the bailout in the Senate, or “So politicians do have brains”

YEAs —74
Akaka (D-HI)
Alexander (R-TN)
Baucus (D-MT)
Bayh (D-IN)
Bennett (R-UT)
Biden (D-DE)
Bingaman (D-NM)
Bond (R-MO)
Boxer (D-CA)
Brown (D-OH)
Burr (R-NC)
Byrd (D-WV)
Cardin (D-MD)
Carper (D-DE)
Casey (D-PA)
Chambliss (R-GA)
Clinton (D-NY)
Coburn (R-OK)
Coleman (R-MN)
Collins (R-ME)
Conrad (D-ND)
Corker (R-TN)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Craig (R-ID)
Dodd (D-CT)
Domenici (R-NM)
Durbin (D-IL)
Ensign (R-NV)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Graham (R-SC)
Grassley (R-IA)
Gregg (R-NH)
Hagel (R-NE)
Harkin (D-IA)
Hatch (R-UT)
Hutchison (R-TX)
Inouye (D-HI)
Isakson (R-GA)
Kerry (D-MA)
Klobuchar (D-MN)
Kohl (D-WI)
Kyl (R-AZ)
Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Leahy (D-VT)
Levin (D-MI)
Lieberman (ID-CT)
Lincoln (D-AR)
Lugar (R-IN)
Martinez (R-FL)
McCain (R-AZ)
McCaskill (D-MO)
McConnell (R-KY)
Menendez (D-NJ)
Mikulski (D-MD)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Murray (D-WA)
Nelson (D-NE)
Obama (D-IL)
Pryor (D-AR)
Reed (D-RI)
Reid (D-NV)
Rockefeller (D-WV)
Salazar (D-CO)
Schumer (D-NY)
Smith (R-OR)
Snowe (R-ME)
Specter (R-PA)
Stevens (R-AK)
Sununu (R-NH)
Thune (R-SD)
Voinovich (R-OH)
Warner (R-VA)
Webb (D-VA)
Whitehouse (D-RI

Link to the Bailout Bill vote in the Senate

Bailout Bill vote

MR PRESIDENT: Two Major banking institutions will collapse in addition to Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE), QUIT TRYING TO STOP IT AND LET IT HAPPEN

We are so screwed

The Fed has been been throwing band aid’s on the financial sector for months, ever since the two day period where I rode Lehman (LEH) for 60+% but alas, what is going to happen to the financials is going to happen to the financials.

It is my humble opinion that the goverment needs to, and probably will eventually, let a major bank or two fail and take over Fannie and Freddie’s assets, because it is also my opinion that the debt, once cleared up, will allow new origination of loans followed by a rise in the economy that eventually will make the United States Government money.

This, however, is not the reason I am short Fannie May , FNM , the reason I am short is that in the next week or two I expect a Bear Sterns (bsc) esque panic. I also expect a quick drop after 5$ as there will no longer be joe shmoe internet trader in it as a short, and I expect margin call’s on Fannie longs to start hitting and causing the stock to get roughed up to the point where the stock is down to two and at that point the goverment will come in and buy it up, and heres the kicker, if Russia wants their debt in the companies paid for, they will have to pull out of Georgia.

After all, the fed can always print money.

When

Oils up in pre market, bank of england leaves rate unchanged.

The moonite pattern has pulled through!

HAHA,

The chart pattern that I invented and laid claim to has pulled through, and Minyanville.com’s Todd Harrison even agreed with me, airlines have changed their dna, mutated, kablewi, quid pro quo…. ok, so I took liberty with the english language, sue me, actually dont!

This all reminds me by far of one of my favorite preformances. Jimi Hendrix playing like a rolling stone at the Monterrey international pop festival .

[audio:http://www.tfpoi.com/likearollingstone.mp3]

Everything has been getting better, but you better bet theres going to be volitility this morning, keep an eye out for the financial’s and the airlines and you could make some fast money.

The Riddler in batman three has been announced

The next joker, Matthew lekso

Try that one on for size [[Christopher Nolan]],

Not only will this one give Batman a run for his money, he will also show him how to get a government grant to pay for it.

In all seriousness [[Matthew Lesko]] would rock, I mean think about it, can you figure him out??