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Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor
Nov 8th
IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.
This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.
The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.
If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit
Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| Short QQQ | PSQ | Nasdaq-100 |
| Short Dow 30 | DOG | DJIA |
| Short S&P 500 | SH | S&P 500 |
| Short MidCap400 | MYY | S&P MidCap 400 |
| Short SmallCap600 | SBB | S&P SmallCap 600 |
| Short Russell2000 | RWM | Russell 2000 |
| UltraShort QQQ | QID | Nasdaq-100 |
| UltraShort Dow 30 | DXD | DJIA |
| UltraShort S&P 500 | SDS | S&P 500 |
| UltraShort MidCap400 | MZZ | S&P MidCap 400 |
| UltraShort SmallCap600 | SDD | S&P SmallCap 600 |
| UltraShort Russell2000 | TWM | Russell 2000 |
UltraShort Style:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| UltraShort Russell1000 Value | SJF | Russell 1000 Value |
| UltraShort Russell1000 Growth | SFK | Russell 1000 Growth |
| UltraShort Russell MidCap Value | SJL | Russell MidCap Value |
| UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth | SDK | Russell MidCap Growth |
| UltraShort Russell2000 Value | SJH | Russell 2000 Value |
| UltraShort Russell2000 Growth | SKK | Russell 2000 Growth |
UltraShort Sector:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| UltraShort Basic Materials | SMN | Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials |
| UltraShort Consumer Goods | SZK | Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods |
| UltraShort Consumer Services | SCC | Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services |
| UltraShort Financials | SKF | Dow Jones U.S. Financials |
| UltraShort Health Care | RXD | Dow Jones U.S. Health Care |
| UltraShort Industrials | SIJ | Dow Jones U.S. Industrials |
| UltraShort Real Estate | SRS | Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate |
| UltraShort Semiconductors | SSG | Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors |
| UltraShort Oil & Gas | DUG | Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas |
| UltraShort Technology | REW | Dow Jones U.S. Technology |
| UltraShort Utilities | SDP | Dow Jones U.S. Utilities |
Short & UltraShort International:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| Short MSCI Emerging Markets | EUM | MSCI Emerging Markets Index |
| Short MSCI EAFE | EFZ | MSCI EAFE Index |
| UltraShort MSCI EAFE | EFU | MSCI EAFE Index |
| UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets | EEV | MSCI Emerging Markets index |
| UltraShort MSCI Japan | EWV | MSCI Japan Index |
| UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 | FXP | FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index |
Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market.
My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.
Diversify your bearishness, toss in the nasdaq: or why i like UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID)
Nov 1st
Dont worry, Im not just gonna keep my hate located on the s&p 500, of all of the indexes, the nasdaq seems to be behaving the most bearish, as such I am recomennding UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID).
It is important to make sure that you dont through all of your bags on to one new york city bums shopping cart.
That strand of geinus being said, although it might have better been left unsaid, the market could go anywhere right now, probably down, but it is my wholeharted opinion that by friday we will have an intense fear based sell off (probably on the gdp #s)
TooLongDidntRead: long QID
The 74 people who voted for the bailout in the Senate, or “So politicians do have brains”
Oct 1st
YEAs —74
Akaka (D-HI)
Alexander (R-TN)
Baucus (D-MT)
Bayh (D-IN)
Bennett (R-UT)
Biden (D-DE)
Bingaman (D-NM)
Bond (R-MO)
Boxer (D-CA)
Brown (D-OH)
Burr (R-NC)
Byrd (D-WV)
Cardin (D-MD)
Carper (D-DE)
Casey (D-PA)
Chambliss (R-GA)
Clinton (D-NY)
Coburn (R-OK)
Coleman (R-MN)
Collins (R-ME)
Conrad (D-ND)
Corker (R-TN)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Craig (R-ID)
Dodd (D-CT)
Domenici (R-NM)
Durbin (D-IL)
Ensign (R-NV)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Graham (R-SC)
Grassley (R-IA)
Gregg (R-NH)
Hagel (R-NE)
Harkin (D-IA)
Hatch (R-UT)
Hutchison (R-TX)
Inouye (D-HI)
Isakson (R-GA)
Kerry (D-MA)
Klobuchar (D-MN)
Kohl (D-WI)
Kyl (R-AZ)
Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Leahy (D-VT)
Levin (D-MI)
Lieberman (ID-CT)
Lincoln (D-AR)
Lugar (R-IN)
Martinez (R-FL)
McCain (R-AZ)
McCaskill (D-MO)
McConnell (R-KY)
Menendez (D-NJ)
Mikulski (D-MD)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Murray (D-WA)
Nelson (D-NE)
Obama (D-IL)
Pryor (D-AR)
Reed (D-RI)
Reid (D-NV)
Rockefeller (D-WV)
Salazar (D-CO)
Schumer (D-NY)
Smith (R-OR)
Snowe (R-ME)
Specter (R-PA)
Stevens (R-AK)
Sununu (R-NH)
Thune (R-SD)
Voinovich (R-OH)
Warner (R-VA)
Webb (D-VA)
Whitehouse (D-RI
MR PRESIDENT: Two Major banking institutions will collapse in addition to Fannie (FNM) and Freddie (FRE), QUIT TRYING TO STOP IT AND LET IT HAPPEN
Aug 19th
The Fed has been been throwing band aid’s on the financial sector for months, ever since the two day period where I rode Lehman (LEH) for 60+% but alas, what is going to happen to the financials is going to happen to the financials.
It is my humble opinion that the goverment needs to, and probably will eventually, let a major bank or two fail and take over Fannie and Freddie’s assets, because it is also my opinion that the debt, once cleared up, will allow new origination of loans followed by a rise in the economy that eventually will make the United States Government money.
This, however, is not the reason I am short Fannie May , FNM , the reason I am short is that in the next week or two I expect a Bear Sterns (bsc) esque panic. I also expect a quick drop after 5$ as there will no longer be joe shmoe internet trader in it as a short, and I expect margin call’s on Fannie longs to start hitting and causing the stock to get roughed up to the point where the stock is down to two and at that point the goverment will come in and buy it up, and heres the kicker, if Russia wants their debt in the companies paid for, they will have to pull out of Georgia.
After all, the fed can always print money.
When
Oils up in pre market, bank of england leaves rate unchanged.
Aug 7th
HAHA,
The chart pattern that I invented and laid claim to has pulled through, and Minyanville.com’s Todd Harrison even agreed with me, airlines have changed their dna, mutated, kablewi, quid pro quo…. ok, so I took liberty with the english language, sue me, actually dont!
This all reminds me by far of one of my favorite preformances. Jimi Hendrix playing like a rolling stone at the Monterrey international pop festival .
[audio:http://www.tfpoi.com/likearollingstone.mp3]
Everything has been getting better, but you better bet theres going to be volitility this morning, keep an eye out for the financial’s and the airlines and you could make some fast money.
The Riddler in batman three has been announced
Jul 29th
Try that one on for size [[Christopher Nolan]],
Not only will this one give Batman a run for his money, he will also show him how to get a government grant to pay for it.
In all seriousness [[Matthew Lesko]] would rock, I mean think about it, can you figure him out??
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