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Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor
Nov 8th
IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.
This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.
The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.
If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit
Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| Short QQQ | PSQ | Nasdaq-100 |
| Short Dow 30 | DOG | DJIA |
| Short S&P 500 | SH | S&P 500 |
| Short MidCap400 | MYY | S&P MidCap 400 |
| Short SmallCap600 | SBB | S&P SmallCap 600 |
| Short Russell2000 | RWM | Russell 2000 |
| UltraShort QQQ | QID | Nasdaq-100 |
| UltraShort Dow 30 | DXD | DJIA |
| UltraShort S&P 500 | SDS | S&P 500 |
| UltraShort MidCap400 | MZZ | S&P MidCap 400 |
| UltraShort SmallCap600 | SDD | S&P SmallCap 600 |
| UltraShort Russell2000 | TWM | Russell 2000 |
UltraShort Style:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| UltraShort Russell1000 Value | SJF | Russell 1000 Value |
| UltraShort Russell1000 Growth | SFK | Russell 1000 Growth |
| UltraShort Russell MidCap Value | SJL | Russell MidCap Value |
| UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth | SDK | Russell MidCap Growth |
| UltraShort Russell2000 Value | SJH | Russell 2000 Value |
| UltraShort Russell2000 Growth | SKK | Russell 2000 Growth |
UltraShort Sector:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| UltraShort Basic Materials | SMN | Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials |
| UltraShort Consumer Goods | SZK | Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods |
| UltraShort Consumer Services | SCC | Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services |
| UltraShort Financials | SKF | Dow Jones U.S. Financials |
| UltraShort Health Care | RXD | Dow Jones U.S. Health Care |
| UltraShort Industrials | SIJ | Dow Jones U.S. Industrials |
| UltraShort Real Estate | SRS | Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate |
| UltraShort Semiconductors | SSG | Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors |
| UltraShort Oil & Gas | DUG | Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas |
| UltraShort Technology | REW | Dow Jones U.S. Technology |
| UltraShort Utilities | SDP | Dow Jones U.S. Utilities |
Short & UltraShort International:
| ETF Name | Ticker | Benchmark Index |
|---|---|---|
| Short MSCI Emerging Markets | EUM | MSCI Emerging Markets Index |
| Short MSCI EAFE | EFZ | MSCI EAFE Index |
| UltraShort MSCI EAFE | EFU | MSCI EAFE Index |
| UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets | EEV | MSCI Emerging Markets index |
| UltraShort MSCI Japan | EWV | MSCI Japan Index |
| UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 | FXP | FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index |
Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market.
My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.
That Settles it: Charles (Charlie) Gasparino is being paid by shorters.
Sep 18th
Once again he does it, Morgan was doing just friggin fine, then Charles (Charlie) Gasparino gets on the CNBC “for Sale” airways, and he ruins a stock that would have recovered if he hadnt reported.
I owned shares of Morgan Stanley (MS:NYSE) overnight, and as such, I was feeling great this morning when this perfectly viable company, living great on its own, and what do you know, Charlie Gasparino gets on the tv, and crushes my hopes and dreams.
Im partially jokeing about it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if this guy was being paid by fund managers.
After all, he did cause an AIG pump and dump.
News alert Oil is falling
Aug 9th
I have been watching oil, and with all of this added volitility, oil seems like a good subject for a competition.
So, In order to attract more readers, and as a shameless alexa grab, I have decided to offer up an awsometastic $15 gift card (paid for by recent google add clicks), for guessing the closing price of oil next friday. All entries must be in comments section by thursday, however for every market day earlier you guess, you will recive an extra 5 cents in leeway (and yes this means this winning # could be an impossibly good #)
Im leaving on a jet plane, Northwest Airlines (NWA) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) that is
Jul 26th
All my bags are packed I’m ready to go
I’m standing here outside your door
I hate to wake you up to say goodbye.
But the dawn is breaking it’s early morning
The taxi is waiting, he is blowing his horn
Already I’m so lonesome, I could crySo kiss me and smile for me
Tell me that you wait for me
Hold me like you never let me goI’m leaving on a jetplane,I don’t know when I’ll be back again
Oh babe I hate to go
Oil is on the way down. And it is going to impact the market, now alot of people I have been talking to have been thinking about playing the oil companies, however it is my personal belief that this will not be the best play against falling oil, or even rising oil.
The companies that will be heavily affected the most between here and $110 a barrel oil. Will be the airlines, and as this site is more about maximising gains. I have found what are in my opinion the best positioned stocks to benifit from the reduction in oil prices(and by that affect jet fuel prices). As these companies have already reduced costs outside gas and some with gas with the excuse that it will cost a ton of money to fuel the planes, as the futures market is tumbeling theses excessive fuel costs will be less of an issue and as the market has discounted these companies to the point it seems they are expecting bankruptcy. If these companies can benifit from the reduction in fuel prices enough, then they may experience a truly magnificent stock recovery, somewhere in the realm of 50% in the next month in my estimation
Lehman is undervalued (Full)
Jun 6th
Lehman brothers fell at the end of today, and I unfortunately sold off all but 5 shares (for reasons i cannot explain other than to say I was trying to buy another stock right at the close, come back saturday to find out what it was (i need hits so i can get the adsense revenue). Lehmans value as of a moth ago was 25 billion, if you were to consider this as a base (where it settled to after the chance of drop) then the stock price to account for the 5 billion in share dilution would set the stock price at 37.
For a fighter like me
Lehman seems like it has a bit of fight in it, so im going to promote it, buy lehman at 30 if i can get it.
It could go as low as 28 or 29 or float around 32.25 where i bought it 3 days ago, so if i were you, id be careful.
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