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Why Shorting SDS is in my opininion the greatest long term strategy for the average investor

IF you look at the chart located HERE, you will see that over time, SDS does worse than its non leveraged counterpart SH.

This is caused by the Constant Leverage Trap, a problem with double leverage that causes below 200% returns.

The solution to the issue, and the way to achieve an over 200% return, In periods of volitility.

If you short this, or any of the leveraged ETF funds listed below, you may be able to better use ETF’S to maximize your profit

Short & UltraShort MarketCap ETFs:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short QQQ PSQ Nasdaq-100
Short Dow 30 DOG DJIA
Short S&P 500 SH S&P 500
Short MidCap400 MYY S&P MidCap 400
Short SmallCap600 SBB S&P SmallCap 600
Short Russell2000 RWM Russell 2000
UltraShort QQQ QID Nasdaq-100
UltraShort Dow 30 DXD DJIA
UltraShort S&P 500 SDS S&P 500
UltraShort MidCap400 MZZ S&P MidCap 400
UltraShort SmallCap600 SDD S&P SmallCap 600
UltraShort Russell2000 TWM Russell 2000

UltraShort Style:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Russell1000 Value SJF Russell 1000 Value
UltraShort Russell1000 Growth SFK Russell 1000 Growth
UltraShort Russell MidCap Value SJL Russell MidCap Value
UltraShort Russell MidCap Growth SDK Russell MidCap Growth
UltraShort Russell2000 Value SJH Russell 2000 Value
UltraShort Russell2000 Growth SKK Russell 2000 Growth

UltraShort Sector:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
UltraShort Basic Materials SMN Dow Jones U.S. Basic Materials
UltraShort Consumer Goods SZK Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods
UltraShort Consumer Services SCC Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Services
UltraShort Financials SKF Dow Jones U.S. Financials
UltraShort Health Care RXD Dow Jones U.S. Health Care
UltraShort Industrials SIJ Dow Jones U.S. Industrials
UltraShort Real Estate SRS Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate
UltraShort Semiconductors SSG Dow Jones U.S. Semiconductors
UltraShort Oil & Gas  DUG Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas
UltraShort Technology REW Dow Jones U.S. Technology
UltraShort Utilities SDP Dow Jones U.S. Utilities

Short & UltraShort International:

ETF Name Ticker Benchmark Index
Short MSCI Emerging Markets EUM MSCI Emerging Markets Index
Short MSCI EAFE EFZ MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI EAFE EFU MSCI EAFE Index
UltraShort MSCI Emerging Markets EEV MSCI Emerging Markets index
UltraShort MSCI Japan EWV MSCI Japan Index
UltraShort FTSE/Xinhua China 25 FXP FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index

 

Now I included the regular short ETFs because I wanted to make a point. **The following Idea is a derivative of  something I am trying to start a fund based upon** You can go 100% pro the s&p, dow, nasdaq.. etc. and get a better than 100% return against the index. Now some will argue that the Double Leverage trap dosent exist but I believe that it is an effective way to game this market. 

My reccomendation for this week is to wait until tuesday to go long. I will Post another brief on monday night.

Diversify your bearishness, toss in the nasdaq: or why i like UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID)

Ultrashort nasdaq

Dont worry, Im not just gonna keep my hate located on the s&p 500, of all of the indexes, the nasdaq seems to be behaving the most bearish, as such I am recomennding UltraShort QQQ ProShares (QID). 

It is important to make sure that you dont through all of your bags on to one new york city bums shopping cart.

That strand of geinus being said, although it might have better been left unsaid, the market could go anywhere right now, probably down, but it is my wholeharted opinion that by friday we will have an intense fear based sell off (probably on the gdp #s) 

TooLongDidntRead: long QID

 

Chart of the day, pick of the day, UltraShort S&P500 ProShares (SDS)

SDS

SDS is once again testing its recent range low, as such, I am reccomending it as a BUY with a sell order waiting for it at 108.49

I will also restate that it is my belief that the market is rangebound for the moment, as such, I am also reccomending taking some of the gains from your long positions and waiting for a better price to occur.

Remember, dont trade with what you cant afford to lose.

Take the 50% gain,or why i would be long UltraShort MSCI Emerging Mrkts ProShares (EEV)

So, id like to thank all of my readers for their responses, I appreciate the emails. (use the contact me link above)

 

That being said, I stand by my claim, you SHOULD NOT BE SHORT THIS STOCK ANYMORE!

I am on full confidence saying that you should be going long this stock at the first oppourtunity.

I think we have peaked.

I think we are due for a nice turnaround. As such i have a small portfolio for you to use with your new gains

LONG    Short 

EEV       UYG

SDS       SSO (Yes i realize sds is right next to this, this is to negate the constant leverage trap)

DUG

 

 

Peggy Hill and Cotton Hill are running for the White House

Anyone notice that Peggy hill and Cotton Hill are running for president?

I’m sorry for this, it was just too easy, they look so damn much alike.

I’m a huge king of the hill fan and i was watching today I was like, yesssssssssssss.

Back to investing though.

The 74 people who voted for the bailout in the Senate, or “So politicians do have brains”

YEAs —74
Akaka (D-HI)
Alexander (R-TN)
Baucus (D-MT)
Bayh (D-IN)
Bennett (R-UT)
Biden (D-DE)
Bingaman (D-NM)
Bond (R-MO)
Boxer (D-CA)
Brown (D-OH)
Burr (R-NC)
Byrd (D-WV)
Cardin (D-MD)
Carper (D-DE)
Casey (D-PA)
Chambliss (R-GA)
Clinton (D-NY)
Coburn (R-OK)
Coleman (R-MN)
Collins (R-ME)
Conrad (D-ND)
Corker (R-TN)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Craig (R-ID)
Dodd (D-CT)
Domenici (R-NM)
Durbin (D-IL)
Ensign (R-NV)
Feinstein (D-CA)
Graham (R-SC)
Grassley (R-IA)
Gregg (R-NH)
Hagel (R-NE)
Harkin (D-IA)
Hatch (R-UT)
Hutchison (R-TX)
Inouye (D-HI)
Isakson (R-GA)
Kerry (D-MA)
Klobuchar (D-MN)
Kohl (D-WI)
Kyl (R-AZ)
Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Leahy (D-VT)
Levin (D-MI)
Lieberman (ID-CT)
Lincoln (D-AR)
Lugar (R-IN)
Martinez (R-FL)
McCain (R-AZ)
McCaskill (D-MO)
McConnell (R-KY)
Menendez (D-NJ)
Mikulski (D-MD)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Murray (D-WA)
Nelson (D-NE)
Obama (D-IL)
Pryor (D-AR)
Reed (D-RI)
Reid (D-NV)
Rockefeller (D-WV)
Salazar (D-CO)
Schumer (D-NY)
Smith (R-OR)
Snowe (R-ME)
Specter (R-PA)
Stevens (R-AK)
Sununu (R-NH)
Thune (R-SD)
Voinovich (R-OH)
Warner (R-VA)
Webb (D-VA)
Whitehouse (D-RI

Link to the Bailout Bill vote in the Senate

Bailout Bill vote

New Rule: If the american financial system has blessed you (an old fart) with a hot wife with a tongue piercing, and you vote to screw that system up, you must give that wife to college students (namely me)

Dennis Kucinich

The list of 205 people who voted for the bailout bill: aka the people who will win the next election

Ackerman
Allen
Andrews
Arcuri
Bachus
Baird
Baldwin
Bean
Berman
Berry
Bishop (GA)
Bishop (NY)
Blunt
Boehner
Bonner
Bono Mack
Boozman
Boren
Boswell
Boucher
Boyd (FL)
Brady (PA)
Brady (TX)
Brown (SC)
Brown, Corrine
Calvert
Camp (MI)
Campbell (CA)
Cannon
Cantor
Capps
Capuano
Cardoza
Carnahan
Castle
Clarke
Clyburn
Cohen
Cole (OK)
Cooper
Costa
Cramer
Crenshaw
Crowley
Cubin
Davis (AL)
Davis (CA)
Davis (IL)
Davis, Tom
DeGette
DeLauro
Dicks
Dingell
Donnelly
Doyle
Dreier
Edwards (TX)
Ehlers
Ellison
Ellsworth
Emanuel
Emerson
Engel
Eshoo
Etheridge
Everett
Farr
Fattah
Ferguson
Fossella
Foster
Frank (MA)
Gilchrest
Gonzalez
Gordon
Granger
Gutierrez
Hall (NY)
Hare
Harman
Hastings (FL)
Herger
Higgins
Hinojosa
Hobson
Holt
Honda
Hooley
Hoyer
Inglis (SC)
Israel
Johnson, E. B.
Kanjorski
Kennedy
Kildee
Kind
King (NY)
Kirk
Klein (FL)
Kline (MN)
LaHood
Langevin
Larsen (WA)
Larson (CT)
Levin
Lewis (CA)
Lewis (KY)
Loebsack
Lofgren, Zoe
Lowey
Lungren, Daniel E.
Mahoney (FL)
Maloney (NY)
Markey
Marshall
Matsui
McCarthy (NY)
McCollum (MN)
McCrery
McDermott
McGovern
McHugh
McKeon
McNerney
McNulty
Meek (FL)
Meeks (NY)
Melancon
Miller (NC)
Miller, Gary
Miller, George
Mollohan
Moore (KS)
Moore (WI)
Moran (VA)
Murphy (CT)
Murphy, Patrick
Murtha
Nadler
Neal (MA)
Oberstar
Obey
Olver
Pallone
Pelosi
Perlmutter
Peterson (PA)
Pickering
Pomeroy
Porter
Price (NC)
Pryce (OH)
Putnam
Radanovich
Rahall
Rangel
Regula
Reyes
Reynolds
Richardson
Rogers (AL)
Rogers (KY)
Ross
Ruppersberger
Ryan (OH)
Ryan (WI)
Sarbanes
Saxton
Schakowsky
Schwartz
Sessions
Sestak
Shays
Simpson
Sires
Skelton
Slaughter
Smith (TX)
Smith (WA)
Snyder
Souder
Space
Speier
Spratt
Tancredo
Tanner
Tauscher
Towns
Tsongas
Upton
Van Hollen
Velázquez
Walden (OR)
Walsh (NY)
Wasserman Schultz
Waters
Watt
Waxman
Weiner
Weldon (FL)
Wexler
Wilson (NM)
Wilson (OH)
Wilson (SC)
Wolf

The list of 228 people who voted against the bailout bill: aka the people who will lose the next election or hr 3997 2008

Abercrombie
Aderholt
Akin
Alexander
Altmire
Baca
Bachmann
Barrett (SC)
Barrow
Bartlett (MD)
Barton (TX)
Becerra
Berkley
Biggert
Bilbray
Bilirakis
Bishop (UT)
Blackburn
Blumenauer
Boustany
Boyda (KS)
Braley (IA)
Broun (GA)
Brown-Waite, Ginny
Buchanan
Burgess
Burton (IN)
Butterfield
Buyer
Capito
Carney
Carson
Carter
Castor
Cazayoux
Chabot
Chandler
Childers
Clay
Cleaver
Coble
Conaway
Conyers
Costello
Courtney
Cuellar
Culberson
Cummings
Davis (KY)
Davis, David
Davis, Lincoln
Deal (GA)
DeFazio
Delahunt
Dent
Diaz-Balart, L.
Diaz-Balart, M.
Doggett
Doolittle
Drake
Duncan
Edwards (MD)
English (PA)
Fallin
Feeney
Filner
Flake
Forbes
Fortenberry
Foxx
Franks (AZ)
Frelinghuysen
Gallegly
Garrett (NJ)
Gerlach
Giffords
Gillibrand
Gingrey
Gohmert
Goode
Goodlatte
Graves
Green, Al
Green, Gene
Grijalva
Hall (TX)
Hastings (WA)
Hayes
Heller
Hensarling
Herseth Sandlin
Hill
Hinchey
Hirono
Hodes
Hoekstra
Holden
Hulshof
Hunter
Inslee
Issa
Jackson (IL)
Jackson-Lee (TX)
Jefferson
Johnson (GA)
Johnson (IL)
Johnson, Sam
Jones (NC)
Jordan
Kagen
Kaptur
Keller
Kilpatrick
King (IA)
Kingston
Knollenberg
Kucinich
Kuhl (NY)
Lamborn
Lampson
Latham
LaTourette
Latta
Lee
Lewis (GA)
Linder
Lipinski
LoBiondo
Lucas
Lynch
Mack
Manzullo
Marchant
Matheson
McCarthy (CA)
McCaul (TX)
McCotter
McHenry
McIntyre
McMorris Rodgers
Mica
Michaud
Miller (FL)
Miller (MI)
Mitchell
Moran (KS)
Murphy, Tim
Musgrave
Myrick
Napolitano
Neugebauer
Nunes
Ortiz
Pascrell
Pastor
Paul
Payne
Pearce
Pence
Peterson (MN)
Petri
Pitts
Platts
Poe
Price (GA)
Ramstad
Rehberg
Reichert
Renzi
Rodriguez
Rogers (MI)
Rohrabacher
Ros-Lehtinen
Roskam
Rothman
Roybal-Allard
Royce
Rush
Salazar
Sali
Sánchez, Linda T.
Sanchez, Loretta
Scalise
Schiff
Schmidt
Scott (GA)
Scott (VA)
Sensenbrenner
Serrano
Shadegg
Shea-Porter
Sherman
Shimkus
Shuler
Shuster
Smith (NE)
Smith (NJ)
Solis
Stark
Stearns
Stupak
Sullivan
Sutton
Taylor
Terry
Thompson (CA)
Thompson (MS)
Thornberry
Tiahrt
Tiberi
Tierney
Turner
Udall (CO)
Udall (NM)
Visclosky
Walberg
Walz (MN)
Wamp
Watson
Welch (VT)
Westmoreland
Whitfield (KY)
Wittman (VA)
Woolsey
Wu
Yarmuth
Young (AK)
Young (FL)

In addition to this, Weller didnt vote, and im keeping him in there because unless he is sick (Someone tell me) hes just weak for not voting.

Update 1. This post has been nicknamed the “To kill list” By dealbreaker (thanks for the link)